Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | DETM -260 MILW +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +25 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -8.8 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -6.4 (+18.6) | 138.0 (+7.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -6.7 (+18.3) | 136.8 (+8.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -6.0 (+19.0) | 138.2 (+6.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -6.1 (+18.9) | 135.7 (+9.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 8-14 |
| Home | 9-1 | 6-10 |
| Away | 5-15 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#225) | -7.5 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#229) | -2.03 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#236) | -2.42 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#224) | 0.391 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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