Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -10.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -10.9 (+9.9) | 133.0 (-14.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -10.7 (+9.7) | 136.0 (-17.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -9.4 (+8.4) | 136.4 (-17.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -9.8 (+8.8) | 135.2 (-16.2) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-11 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#286) | 7.3 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#328) | 0.44 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#311) | 0.75 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#329) | 0.516 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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