Betting Lines
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | SCST -145 COPP +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +9 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -2.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -0.7 (-9.7) | 157.1 (-18.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -1.5 (-10.5) | 151.3 (-12.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -0.5 (-8.5) | 149.0 (-10.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COPP -0.3 (-8.7) | 153.6 (-14.6) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#326) | -8.0 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#281) | -2.14 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#306) | -2.24 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#292) | 0.414 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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