Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -5.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -5.2 (-7.2) | 135.4 (-1.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -3.3 (-5.3) | 135.8 (-1.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -2.8 (-4.8) | 135.3 (-1.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -3.7 (-5.7) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-6 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#324) | -11.0 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#297) | -2.60 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#294) | -3.48 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#303) | 0.427 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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