Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -1.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -0.1 (-11.1) | 137.2 (-12.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -0.1 (-11.1) | 143.1 (-18.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.6 (-10.4) | 142.3 (-17.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -1.4 (-9.6) | 140.5 (-15.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#183) | 4.7 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#97) | 0.01 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#102) | 0.25 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#93) | 0.482 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 11.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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