Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -21.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -15.3 (-7.3) | 145.2 (+4.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -15.5 (-7.5) | 145.9 (+4.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -17.0 (-9.0) | 144.9 (+5.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -16.2 (-8.2) | 145.5 (+4.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#64) | -9.5 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#77) | -1.15 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#74) | -1.47 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#85) | 0.446 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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