Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -3.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -1.8 (-9.8) | 131.2 (-1.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -1.8 (-9.8) | 130.9 (-0.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -1.9 (-9.9) | 131.5 (-1.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -2.1 (-10.1) | 131.7 (-1.7) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | MSM 78 – 48 SFBK |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SFBK 64 – 55 MSM |
| Jan 8, 2021 | SFBK 67 – 55 MSM |
| Jan 7, 2021 | SFBK 70 – 55 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 3-9 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#315) | -9.3 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#342) | -1.88 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#337) | -2.66 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#345) | 0.422 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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