Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +12 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -0.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -0.9 (+11.1) | 131.2 (-9.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -1.4 (+10.6) | 136.5 (-14.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -1.1 (+10.9) | 137.0 (-15.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -0.8 (+11.2) | 136.3 (-14.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | MSM 78 – 48 SFBK |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SFBK 64 – 55 MSM |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MSM 69 – 61 SFBK |
| Jan 7, 2021 | SFBK 70 – 55 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 4-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 62.2 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#235) | -0.5 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | 0.54 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#164) | 0.68 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#179) | 0.547 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 79.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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