Mount St. Mary's
Mountaineers
78
–
48
FINAL
Conference
Northeast Conference
St. Francis Brooklyn
Terriers
Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +30 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -6.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -4.8 (+25.2) | 128.7 (-2.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -4.3 (+25.7) | 129.8 (-3.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -4.4 (+25.6) | 130.9 (-4.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -4.6 (+25.4) | 131.4 (-5.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | SFBK 64 – 55 MSM |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MSM 69 – 61 SFBK |
| Jan 8, 2021 | SFBK 67 – 55 MSM |
| Jan 7, 2021 | SFBK 70 – 55 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 3-9 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#266) | -9.6 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#291) | -2.27 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#286) | -2.71 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#221) | 0.414 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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