Nicholls
Colonels
84
–
75
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Southland Conference Men's Basketball Tip-Off
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Islanders
Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | NICH -150 AMCC +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -2.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -1.8 (+7.2) | 149.7 (+9.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.9 (+8.1) | 147.6 (+11.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -1.9 (+7.1) | 149.8 (+9.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -0.3 (+8.7) | 149.7 (+9.3) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#137) | -1.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#193) | 0.93 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#196) | 0.93 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.502 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 11.9% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 27.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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