Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -0.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -1.1 (+2.9) | 154.0 (+16.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -0.3 (+3.7) | 156.4 (+13.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -0.6 (+3.4) | 157.1 (+12.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -0.3 (+3.7) | 156.0 (+14.0) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#218) | 2.3 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#222) | -0.43 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#232) | -0.25 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#243) | 0.444 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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