Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UPST +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -8.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -6.0 (-16.0) | 134.5 (+19.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -7.1 (-17.1) | 136.2 (+17.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -7.1 (-17.1) | 136.4 (+17.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -6.1 (-16.1) | 135.0 (+19.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UPST 76 – 74 PRES |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PRES 86 – 77 UPST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PRES 75 – 64 UPST |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UPST 77 – 67 PRES |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UPST 74 – 72 PRES |
Game Analysis
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