Northwestern State
Demons
79
–
80
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Southland Conference Men's Basketball Tip-Off
LSU New Orleans
Privateers
Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +1 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -7.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -5.4 (+4.4) | 152.2 (+6.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -5.8 (+4.8) | 153.8 (+5.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -6.3 (+5.3) | 154.2 (+4.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -6.4 (+5.4) | 153.6 (+5.4) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#344) | -6.4 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#322) | -1.46 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#323) | -1.53 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#214) | 0.405 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.