Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -8.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -6.3 (+7.7) | 133.9 (-11.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -6.2 (+7.8) | 132.9 (-10.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -6.6 (+7.4) | 134.0 (-12.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -6.1 (+7.9) | 133.7 (-11.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | USF 90 – 62 TULN |
| Jan 29, 2026 | USF 97 – 83 TULN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TULN 73 – 70 USF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | USF 85 – 72 TULN |
| Feb 19, 2023 | TULN 84 – 66 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#145) | -3.7 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#191) | -1.07 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#191) | -1.31 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#211) | 0.442 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 24.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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