Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | USF -350 TULN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USF +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | USF -6.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USF -8.6 (+4.4) | 152.8 (+4.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USF -7.3 (+5.7) | 157.2 (-0.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USF -9.7 (+3.3) | 157.4 (-0.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USF -8.5 (+4.5) | 153.5 (+3.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | USF 90 – 62 TULN |
| Jan 29, 2026 | USF 97 – 83 TULN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TULN 73 – 70 USF |
| Feb 19, 2023 | TULN 84 – 66 USF |
| Feb 16, 2022 | TULN 76 – 57 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#91) | 2.9 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#49) | -0.04 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#63) | 0.10 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#30) | 0.474 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.