Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -8.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -8.7 (-1.7) | 126.8 (+6.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -10.6 (-3.6) | 125.6 (+7.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -8.4 (-1.4) | 127.8 (+5.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -9.1 (-2.1) | 129.0 (+4.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | UNT 64 – 50 MTSU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | UNT 56 – 51 MTSU |
| Mar 11, 2021 | UNT 76 – 56 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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