Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -210 PFW +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -11.3 (-21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -8.0 (-18.0) | 138.3 (-6.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -8.3 (-18.3) | 142.0 (-10.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -8.2 (-18.2) | 140.9 (-8.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -8.7 (-18.7) | 140.4 (-8.4) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | YSU 90 – 61 PFW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | PFW 71 – 69 YSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | YSU 72 – 67 PFW |
| Feb 12, 2025 | YSU 93 – 71 PFW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PFW 90 – 81 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 15-6 |
| Home | 13-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#197) | -8.4 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#223) | -1.43 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#228) | -2.04 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#241) | 0.401 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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