Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -18.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -16.2 (-2.2) | 127.6 (+2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -15.4 (-1.4) | 131.5 (-1.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -16.9 (-2.9) | 131.8 (-1.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -14.6 (-0.6) | 127.9 (+2.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 1-16 |
| Home | 12-3 | 2-11 |
| Away | 7-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 51.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#259) | -19.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#254) | -4.35 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#245) | -5.79 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#278) | 0.300 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 27.9% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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