Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | WAKE -175 SYR +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -8.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -5.6 (-2.6) | 156.6 (-5.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -7.8 (-4.8) | 158.5 (-7.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -6.9 (-3.9) | 158.4 (-7.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -7.5 (-4.5) | 158.2 (-7.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WAKE 88 – 83 SYR |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WAKE 81 – 71 SYR |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WAKE 99 – 70 SYR |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WAKE 77 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SYR 72 – 63 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 18-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#43) | 5.5 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#50) | 0.63 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#51) | 0.63 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#63) | 0.535 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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