Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -3.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -2.5 (+10.5) | 126.9 (-3.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -1.7 (+11.3) | 128.7 (-5.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -2.4 (+10.6) | 130.1 (-7.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -2.0 (+11.0) | 128.2 (-5.2) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 2-12 |
| Home | 4-11 | 4-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#303) | -7.8 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#252) | -2.07 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#250) | -1.99 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#245) | 0.392 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.7% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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