Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
| Money | PRIN -245 COR +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -6.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -5.2 (-3.2) | 155.8 (-13.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.0 (-4.0) | 158.7 (-16.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -6.5 (-4.5) | 159.6 (-17.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -7.3 (-5.3) | 160.7 (-18.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 7-7 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | 0.4 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#69) | 0.60 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#85) | 0.38 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#87) | 0.490 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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