Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -200 COR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -1.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -0.6 (+13.4) | 157.0 (-13.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -0.7 (+13.3) | 156.0 (-12.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -0.6 (+13.4) | 156.2 (-12.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -1.5 (+12.5) | 155.6 (-11.6) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 82 – 76 COR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PENN 91 – 81 COR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COR 90 – 62 PENN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COR 86 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COR 87 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#217) | 0.4 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#230) | 0.60 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#219) | 0.38 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#223) | 0.490 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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