Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +1 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -6.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -6.3 (-7.3) | 143.5 (+25.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -6.3 (-7.3) | 144.4 (+24.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -5.8 (-6.8) | 144.4 (+24.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -5.8 (-6.8) | 143.7 (+25.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNI 66 – 61 MOST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UNI 79 – 68 MOST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UNI 72 – 65 MOST |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UNI 64 – 62 MOST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNI 69 – 66 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#74) | 4.3 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#133) | -0.37 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#116) | 0.11 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#143) | 0.481 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 83.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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