Incarnate Word
Cardinals
60
–
50
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Southland Conference Men's Basketball Tip-Off
Houston Christian
Huskies
Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +10 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -0.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -1.3 (+8.7) | 134.8 (-24.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -0.4 (+9.6) | 138.2 (-28.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -1.8 (+8.2) | 137.2 (-27.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -1.5 (+8.5) | 136.4 (-26.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | HCU 81 – 75 UIW |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UIW 73 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UIW 74 – 64 HCU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HCU 81 – 76 UIW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HCU 86 – 83 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 6-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#349) | -15.8 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#346) | -3.58 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.88 (#339) | -4.85 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#313) | 0.374 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 59.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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