Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +14 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -14.0 (-28.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -9.0 (-23.0) | 146.0 (+10.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -10.1 (-24.1) | 145.2 (+10.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -10.6 (-24.6) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -10.4 (-24.4) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#165) | -9.7 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#108) | -1.19 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#109) | -1.45 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#48) | 0.464 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.