Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | KU -1.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -2.0 (+6.0) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -0.2 (+8.2) | 143.2 (-1.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -0.5 (+7.5) | 142.4 (-0.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -0.5 (+7.5) | 142.3 (-0.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | KU 64 – 61 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | TTU 78 – 73 KU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TTU 79 – 50 KU |
| Mar 1, 2023 | KU 67 – 63 TTU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KU 75 – 72 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 18-0 | 19-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#24) | 18.6 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#41) | 3.69 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#33) | 6.28 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#125) | 0.683 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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