Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -20.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -13.7 (+9.3) | 147.4 (-6.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -15.7 (+7.3) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -15.7 (+7.3) | 146.1 (-5.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -15.3 (+7.7) | 146.2 (-5.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 83 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCA 69 – 61 CHSO |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.