Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +3 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -1.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+31.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -1.6 (+1.4) | 140.6 (+36.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -1.7 (+1.3) | 141.7 (+35.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -2.0 (+1.0) | 143.4 (+33.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -2.0 (+1.0) | 144.6 (+32.4) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 13-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#23) | 16.3 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#28) | 3.09 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#26) | 4.15 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#25) | 0.596 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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