I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–12 on winners spread MAE 7.5 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida Atlantic @ Marshall +3.3 147.6 63% 90–77 ✗
Sam Houston @ Abilene Christian +10.9 138.8 82% 65–63 ✗
San Diego @ San Francisco +13.4 131.9 88% 73–88 ✓
Brown @ Dartmouth -0.8 136.7 46% 46–58 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine +1.1 148.2 50% 61–66 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso +0.6 130.0 47% 63–60 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +13.2 152.3 85% 65–84 ✓
Miami @ Duke +14.6 153.1 86% 76–74 ✗
UCLA @ California -7.6 136.4 21% 60–52 ✓
Florida @ Auburn +8.7 141.0 81% 73–85 ✓
Iona @ Saint Louis +4.5 148.0 71% 67–68 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside +1.0 125.9 49% 68–51 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Davis +3.0 136.3 65% 71–78 ✓
New Mexico State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -7.0 148.3 21% 85–73 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Tarleton State +0.3 127.2 50% 71–77 ✓
Louisville @ Florida State +3.6 141.0 72% 70–79 ✓
Utah State @ New Mexico -5.5 152.8 28% 90–87 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Nicholls +8.3 151.7 76% 77–72 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern +14.4 135.0 87% 71–90 ✓
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss -2.3 130.2 42% 72–82 ✗
Pepperdine @ Gonzaga +21.8 162.0 90% 83–117 ✓
Southern Miss @ UTEP +11.4 130.3 85% 54–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ North Alabama -5.5 131.9 29% 65–55 ✓
Saint Mary's @ BYU +6.1 129.1 77% 43–52 ✓
Minnesota @ Indiana +6.6 138.6 75% 60–73 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Robert Morris -0.2 144.4 44% 76–70 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Niagara +3.8 132.7 65% 66–76 ✓
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +0.2 139.7 44% 86–80 ✗
Rider @ Marist +9.7 139.8 79% 79–75 ✗
Fairfield @ Siena -5.6 133.3 34% 62–69 ✗
Lipscomb @ Central Arkansas -3.8 157.7 46% 88–93 ✗
Cincinnati @ Memphis +5.8 142.2 79% 80–87 ✓
Milwaukee @ Oakland +12.9 142.4 87% 65–86 ✓
Hofstra @ James Madison -0.1 145.5 53% 87–80 ✓
Elon @ Charleston +8.9 148.0 85% 61–65 ✓
Northeastern @ Towson +9.2 132.0 84% 67–70 ✓
Washington @ Colorado +10.1 144.3 83% 64–78 ✓
Northwestern @ Ohio State +7.8 142.0 80% 87–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.