Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +6 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -2.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -0.2 (-6.2) | 139.7 (+26.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -0.8 (-6.8) | 144.2 (+21.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -0.6 (-6.6) | 143.9 (+22.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.3 (-6.3) | 143.6 (+22.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 15-6 |
| Home | 13-7 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#225) | -1.2 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#260) | 0.49 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#272) | 0.55 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#275) | 0.514 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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