Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -8.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -10.1 (+3.9) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.5 (+7.5) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.8 (+7.2) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -7.2 (+6.8) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#111) | -0.5 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#68) | 0.16 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#84) | 0.16 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#69) | 0.506 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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