Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SF -2000 USD +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SF -15.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (+33.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -13.4 (+1.6) | 131.9 (+29.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -12.8 (+2.2) | 130.2 (+30.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -12.5 (+2.5) | 132.4 (+28.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -11.4 (+3.6) | 130.0 (+31.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SF 92 – 79 USD |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SF 74 – 64 USD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SF 84 – 61 USD |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SF 81 – 69 USD |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SF 95 – 79 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#48) | -2.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#30) | -0.38 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#31) | 0.02 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#21) | 0.466 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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