Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Chaifetz Arena · January 9, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -4.0 Away covered
O/U 148.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +1 135 Won
Massey SLU -4.6 (-3.6) — —
Massey Totals — 150.8 (-15.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 34% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 30% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SLU -4.0 (-3.0) 151.3 (-16.3) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SLU -4.5 (-3.5) 148.0 (-13.0) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -3.4 (-2.4) 149.2 (-14.2) 62% ✓
Baseline ML SLU -3.7 (-2.7) 149.0 (-14.0) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2022 IONA 84 – 62 SLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU IONA
Overall 23-12 25-8
Conference 12-6 17-3
Home 14-5 13-0
Away 5-6 7-5
Neutral 4-1 5-3
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 74.7 75.2
Avg Pts Against 68.3 68.6
Massey 8.8 (#53) 8.0 (#62)
Bradley-Terry 1.33 (#70) 2.67 (#26)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.84 (#67) 3.41 (#29)
RPI 0.554 (#86) 0.630 (#18)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU IONA
FG% 45.1% 44.0%
3PT% 34.3% 32.9%
REB / G 38.5 36.9
OREB / G 12.4 11.2
AST / TO 1.00 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 50.1%
TOV% 18.6% 18.6%
ORB% 34.8% 31.4%
FT Rate 30.3% 28.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 18.4%
DRB% 71.6% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.7% 22.8%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.