Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | IONA +100 SLU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +22 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -9.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -7.2 (+14.8) | 151.9 (-5.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -6.5 (+15.5) | 148.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -7.2 (+14.8) | 150.1 (-4.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -7.2 (+14.8) | 149.8 (-3.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2022 | SLU 68 – 67 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#40) | 6.5 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#111) | 2.44 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#108) | 3.81 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#116) | 0.659 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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