Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | FAIR -6.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -5.6 (+12.6) | 133.3 (-2.3) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -4.9 (+11.9) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -5.4 (+12.4) | 134.1 (-3.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -6.1 (+13.1) | 133.6 (-2.6) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 FAIR |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAIR 72 – 58 SIE |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SIE 85 – 77 FAIR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SIE 68 – 64 FAIR |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FAIR 88 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#313) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#262) | -0.25 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#275) | -0.45 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#258) | 0.476 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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