Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -14.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -9.7 (-13.7) | 139.8 (+14.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -10.9 (-14.9) | 136.4 (+17.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -11.4 (-15.4) | 134.8 (+19.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -10.2 (-14.2) | 138.5 (+15.5) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#135) | -8.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#164) | -1.83 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#164) | -2.14 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#161) | 0.401 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.