Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | IU -8.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -6.6 (+6.4) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -7.1 (+5.9) | 135.8 (-2.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -6.9 (+6.1) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -7.3 (+5.7) | 137.6 (-4.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | IU 77 – 47 MINN |
| Dec 4, 2025 | MINN 73 – 64 IU |
| Dec 9, 2024 | IU 82 – 67 MINN |
| Mar 7, 2024 | IU 70 – 58 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | IU 74 – 62 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#27) | 7.2 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#52) | 2.64 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#41) | 3.08 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#42) | 0.623 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 16.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.9% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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