Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | DART +135 BRWN -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +12 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -0.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-30.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -0.8 (+12.8) | 136.7 (-32.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -0.7 (+11.3) | 138.3 (-34.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -0.1 (+12.1) | 138.9 (-34.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -0.9 (+11.1) | 139.5 (-35.5) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BRWN 79 – 76 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DART 77 – 70 BRWN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DART 78 – 58 BRWN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DART 84 – 83 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 89 – 67 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#240) | 0.8 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#281) | -0.06 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#273) | 0.06 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#265) | 0.505 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 13.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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