Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -14.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -9.2 (-6.2) | 132.0 (+5.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -12.0 (-9.0) | 136.9 (+0.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -12.2 (-9.2) | 137.3 (-0.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -12.7 (-9.7) | 134.4 (+2.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | TOW 87 – 78 NE |
| Jan 28, 2025 | TOW 75 – 65 NE |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TOW 80 – 73 NE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | TOW 83 – 76 NE |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NE 67 – 59 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 11-5 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#72) | -3.5 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#100) | -0.69 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#95) | -0.76 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#101) | 0.464 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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