Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -30.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +34 | 200 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -29.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+48.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -21.8 (+12.2) | 162.0 (+38.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -21.9 (+12.1) | 157.6 (+42.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -27.6 (+6.4) | 156.7 (+43.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -26.1 (+7.9) | 156.8 (+43.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | GONZ 84 – 60 PEPP |
| Dec 29, 2025 | GONZ 96 – 56 PEPP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | GONZ 107 – 55 PEPP |
| Dec 31, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 82 PEPP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 61 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 1-15 |
| Home | 16-0 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-1 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 20.9 (#4) | -5.1 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#18) | -0.70 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#10) | -0.89 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#45) | 0.446 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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