Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Freedom Hall (KY) · January 9, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -1.0 Home covered
O/U 151.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual BELL +5 127 Won
Massey BELL -0.4 (+4.6) — —
Massey Totals — 150.8 (-23.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -1.1 (+3.9) 148.2 (-21.2) 50% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -2.0 (+3.0) 147.4 (-20.4) 58% ✓
Baseline ML BELL -1.5 (+3.5) 150.1 (-23.1) 62% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BELL -1.3 (+3.7) 149.3 (-22.3) 54% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 EKU 95 – 92 BELL
Jan 18, 2026 EKU 89 – 69 BELL
Feb 20, 2025 BELL 80 – 74 EKU
Jan 19, 2025 EKU 72 – 69 BELL
Feb 18, 2024 EKU 75 – 65 BELL

Game Analysis

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