Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -7.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -3.8 (+6.2) | 132.7 (+9.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -3.4 (+6.6) | 135.1 (+6.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -3.5 (+6.5) | 135.6 (+6.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -3.5 (+6.5) | 135.2 (+6.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | NIA 78 – 76 QUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | QUIN 56 – 55 NIA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NIA 76 – 75 QUIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NIA 80 – 66 QUIN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | QUIN 75 – 68 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#153) | -3.1 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#250) | -0.66 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#249) | -0.96 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#211) | 0.423 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.