Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +21 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -19.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -12.9 (+8.1) | 142.4 (+8.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -15.7 (+5.3) | 139.4 (+11.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -17.4 (+3.6) | 139.7 (+11.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -16.7 (+4.3) | 139.0 (+12.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 8-14 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#83) | -8.6 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#51) | -2.14 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#50) | -2.57 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#36) | 0.387 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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