Nicholls
Colonels
72
–
77
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Southland Conference Men's Basketball Tip-Off
SE Louisiana
Lions
Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -9.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -8.3 (-13.3) | 151.7 (-2.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -8.7 (-13.7) | 151.8 (-2.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -9.7 (-14.7) | 152.5 (-3.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -9.2 (-14.2) | 153.1 (-4.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#128) | -7.3 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#131) | -1.26 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#145) | -1.80 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#83) | 0.450 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.