Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -1.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -0.2 (-5.8) | 144.4 (+1.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -0.4 (-5.6) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -0.2 (-5.8) | 144.5 (+1.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -0.5 (-5.5) | 145.7 (+0.3) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | PFW 79 – 74 RMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RMU 76 – 69 PFW |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | PFW 78 – 63 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-16 | 15-6 |
| Home | 4-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-14 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#315) | -6.9 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#349) | -1.11 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.05 (#345) | -1.66 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#318) | 0.430 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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