Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -12.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -8.9 (-4.9) | 148.0 (-22.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -9.9 (-5.9) | 153.0 (-27.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -10.2 (-6.2) | 152.4 (-26.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -9.9 (-5.9) | 151.5 (-25.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#138) | -7.4 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#113) | -1.52 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#122) | -1.72 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#103) | 0.451 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 39.7% |
Game Analysis
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