Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +12 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | NMSU -6.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -7.0 (-5.0) | 148.3 (+9.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -7.2 (-4.8) | 150.4 (+7.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -6.3 (-5.7) | 150.0 (+8.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -7.6 (-4.4) | 149.6 (+8.4) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2021 | NMSU 77 – 61 RGV |
| Mar 2, 2021 | NMSU 69 – 51 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 64.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#269) | 4.8 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#274) | 2.13 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#268) | 2.22 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#227) | 0.615 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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