Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -7.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -5.6 (-7.6) | 136.6 (+5.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -5.1 (-7.1) | 135.0 (+7.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -5.9 (-7.9) | 135.9 (+6.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -6.2 (-8.2) | 137.6 (+4.4) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | VAN 83 – 71 SC |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VAN 66 – 63 SC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SC 75 – 60 VAN |
| Feb 14, 2023 | VAN 75 – 64 SC |
| Jan 4, 2023 | VAN 84 – 79 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#69) | 3.8 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#72) | 1.13 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#105) | 1.14 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#105) | 0.563 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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