Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -7.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -6.1 (-1.1) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -5.6 (-0.6) | 148.0 (-3.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -6.1 (-1.1) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -5.1 (-0.1) | 148.7 (-3.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | LIU 91 – 89 SFPA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIU 67 – 63 SFPA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SFPA 71 – 68 LIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SFPA 74 – 64 LIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | LIU 64 – 51 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#265) | -8.8 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#304) | -2.60 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#288) | -3.22 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#299) | 0.372 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.