Long Island University
Sharks
68
–
71
FINAL
Conference
Northeast Conference
Saint Francis
Red Wolves
Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | LIU -275 SFPA +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -5.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -5.0 (-8.0) | 133.2 (+5.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -5.6 (-8.6) | 133.6 (+5.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -4.3 (-7.3) | 133.5 (+5.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -5.3 (-8.3) | 134.3 (+4.7) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | LIU 91 – 89 SFPA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIU 67 – 63 SFPA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SFPA 74 – 64 LIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | LIU 64 – 51 SFPA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LIU 70 – 67 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#289) | -10.1 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#275) | -1.43 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#284) | -1.88 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#252) | 0.473 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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